Stock Analysis

Should GPT Group’s New ‘Offline’ Pop‑Up Hub Strategy Matter for GPT Group (ASX:GPT) Investors?

  • GPT Group has recently launched “Offline” at Queensland’s largest shopping centre, Pacific Fair, turning previously underused space into a rotating, short‑term physical hub for popular online-only brands.
  • This concept highlights GPT’s attempt to blend e-commerce influence with in-person retail, potentially boosting centre vibrancy, tenant appeal and customer engagement.
  • We’ll now explore how repurposing underutilised space for online brands’ pop-up stores may influence GPT Group’s broader investment narrative.

AI is about to change healthcare. These 30 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.

GPT Group Investment Narrative Recap

To own GPT Group, you generally need to believe in the long term relevance of high quality Australian retail, office and logistics assets despite sector and interest rate headwinds. The Offline launch at Pacific Fair looks incremental rather than a material short term catalyst, but it does speak to how GPT is trying to keep retail space productive, which may help centre performance while the biggest near term pressure points remain higher finance costs and elevated office leasing incentives.

The recent half year 2025 result, which saw GPT return to profitability with A$551.2 million in revenue and A$329.1 million in net income, provides the most relevant backdrop for assessing Offline. It gives investors a clearer earnings base from which to judge whether concepts like short term pop up hubs for online brands can contribute meaningfully to maintaining occupancy, supporting rental outcomes and justifying ongoing capital investment in the retail portfolio.

Yet investors should be aware that higher structural interest rates and their effect on GPT’s funding costs could still...

Read the full narrative on GPT Group (it's free!)

GPT Group's narrative projects A$1.0 billion revenue and A$738.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires a 1.4% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about A$361 million from A$377.8 million today.

Uncover how GPT Group's forecasts yield a A$5.92 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ASX:GPT 1-Year Stock Price Chart
ASX:GPT 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span about A$5.92 to A$7.63, underlining how far apart individual views can be. You can weigh these against GPT’s reliance on Australian office and retail assets, which ties the investment case closely to domestic property cycles and sector specific risks.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on GPT Group - why the stock might be worth just A$5.92!

Build Your Own GPT Group Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

Contemplating Other Strategies?

Don't miss your shot at the next 10-bagger. Our latest stock picks just dropped:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About ASX:GPT

GPT Group

GPT is one of Australia’s leading property groups, with assets under management of $34.1 billion across a portfolio of high quality retail, office and logistics assets.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4034.1% undervalued
22 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
5 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6089.9% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8149.0% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

IM
HOH logo
Imthetxarbi on High Arctic Overseas Holdings ·

Deep Value Multi Bagger Opportunity

Fair Value:CA$471.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
ST
stuart_roberts
UNCY logo
stuart_roberts on Unicycive Therapeutics ·

Unicycive Therapeutics (Nasdaq: UNCY) – Preparing for a Second Shot at Bringing a New Kidney Treatment to Market (TEST)

Fair Value:US$21.5370.2% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.7% undervalued
963 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8683.3% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative