Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Tian An Australia (ASX:TIA) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Following the solid earnings report from Tian An Australia Limited (ASX:TIA), the market responded by bidding up the stock price. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:TIA Earnings and Revenue History August 23rd 2025

A Closer Look At Tian An Australia's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2025, Tian An Australia had an accrual ratio of -0.11. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of AU$46m, well over the AU$17.0m it reported in profit. Notably, Tian An Australia had negative free cash flow last year, so the AU$46m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that it seems that a recent tax benefit and some unusual items have impacted its profit (and this its accrual ratio).

View our latest analysis for Tian An Australia

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tian An Australia.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Tian An Australia's profit was boosted by unusual items worth AU$4.8m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Tian An Australia had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2025. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

An Unusual Tax Situation

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Tian An Australia received a tax benefit of AU$3.9m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal.

Our Take On Tian An Australia's Profit Performance

Summing up, Tian An Australia's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are well matched by free cash flow while its unusual items and tax benefit is boosted profit in a way that may not be sustained. Considering all this we'd argue Tian An Australia's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Tian An Australia you should be mindful of and 2 of these are potentially serious.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:TIA

Tian An Australia

Develops and sells residential land and built-form products in Australia.

Moderate risk and good value.

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