Is Nine Entertainment Holdings (ASX:NEC) A Risky Investment?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
April 13, 2021
ASX:NEC

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Limited (ASX:NEC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Nine Entertainment Holdings

What Is Nine Entertainment Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Nine Entertainment Holdings had AU$375.4m of debt in December 2020, down from AU$529.5m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$114.4m, its net debt is less, at about AU$261.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:NEC Debt to Equity History April 13th 2021

A Look At Nine Entertainment Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nine Entertainment Holdings had liabilities of AU$693.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$1.15b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$114.4m and AU$363.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling AU$1.37b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Nine Entertainment Holdings is worth AU$4.81b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Nine Entertainment Holdings's net debt is only 0.70 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.1 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. While Nine Entertainment Holdings doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nine Entertainment Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Nine Entertainment Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Nine Entertainment Holdings's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Nine Entertainment Holdings can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Nine Entertainment Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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