Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that South32 Limited (ASX:S32) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for South32
How Much Debt Does South32 Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, South32 had US$1.18b of debt, up from US$520.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has US$2.37b in cash, leading to a US$1.19b net cash position.
How Healthy Is South32's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that South32 had liabilities of US$1.90b due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.66b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$2.37b and US$848.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.34b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since South32 has a huge market capitalization of US$11.2b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, South32 also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Even more impressive was the fact that South32 grew its EBIT by 354% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine South32's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. South32 may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, South32 generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 86% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
Although South32's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$1.19b. The cherry on top was that in converted 86% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$2.5b. So is South32's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for South32 (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:S32
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.