Stock Analysis

Resolute Mining Limited's (ASX:RSG) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

ASX:RSG
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Resolute Mining Limited (ASX:RSG) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Although its price has surged higher, Resolute Mining may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 84.5x and even P/S higher than 509x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Resolute Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:RSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 5th 2024

How Resolute Mining Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Resolute Mining's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Resolute Mining will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Resolute Mining's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.1% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.2% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 139% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Resolute Mining's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Resolute Mining's P/S?

Even after such a strong price move, Resolute Mining's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of Resolute Mining's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Resolute Mining with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Resolute Mining, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.