Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Nickel Industries Limited (ASX:NIC)

ASX:NIC
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.7x Nickel Industries Limited (ASX:NIC) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Nickel Industries could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Nickel Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:NIC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 23rd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nickel Industries will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Nickel Industries' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 25%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 64% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 51% per annum as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 18% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Nickel Industries is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Nickel Industries' P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Nickel Industries maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nickel Industries that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Nickel Industries. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nickel Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.