Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Mineral Resources Limited (ASX:MIN) Even After Diving 27%

ASX:MIN
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Mineral Resources Limited (ASX:MIN) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 21% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Mineral Resources' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.2x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Mineral Resources hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Mineral Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:MIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 24th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Mineral Resources.

Is There Enough Growth For Mineral Resources?

Mineral Resources' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 47%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 41% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 52% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 17% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Mineral Resources' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Mineral Resources' P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Mineral Resources maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Mineral Resources (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Mineral Resources' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.