Stock Analysis

Is Kingsgate Consolidated (ASX:KCN) A Risky Investment?

ASX:KCN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Kingsgate Consolidated Limited (ASX:KCN) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kingsgate Consolidated

How Much Debt Does Kingsgate Consolidated Carry?

As you can see below, Kingsgate Consolidated had AU$11.0m of debt at June 2021, down from AU$12.5m a year prior. However, it does have AU$9.98m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$1.06m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:KCN Debt to Equity History November 1st 2021

A Look At Kingsgate Consolidated's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kingsgate Consolidated had liabilities of AU$3.40m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$33.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$9.98m and AU$1.02m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling AU$25.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Kingsgate Consolidated shares are worth a total of AU$313.2m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Kingsgate Consolidated has a very light debt load indeed. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kingsgate Consolidated will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Kingsgate Consolidated managed to produce its first revenue as a listed company, but given the lack of profit, shareholders will no doubt be hoping to see some strong increases.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Kingsgate Consolidated had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost AU$3.8m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$4.4m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Kingsgate Consolidated that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kingsgate Consolidated might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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