Kingsgate Consolidated Limited

ASX:KCN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$375.0m

Kingsgate Consolidated Valuation

Is KCN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KCN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KCN (A$1.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$21.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KCN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KCN?

Key metric: As KCN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KCN. This is calculated by dividing KCN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KCN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio1.9x
EarningsAU$199.76m
Market CapAU$375.03m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KCN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KCN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.3x
CYL Catalyst Metals
31.1x33.1%AU$732.2m
GMD Genesis Minerals
33.6x23.1%AU$2.8b
BGL Bellevue Gold
22.9x17.9%AU$1.7b
ALK Alkane Resources
17.6x36.3%AU$311.6m
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.9x-13.3%AU$375.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KCN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.11.9x10.6%
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.9x-13.3%US$243.86m
RHI Red Hill Minerals
1.8xn/aUS$181.39m
GRR Grange Resources
2.6xn/aUS$176.85m
KCN 1.9xIndustry Avg. 11.9xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.11.9x10.6%
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.9x-13.3%US$243.86m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KCN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KCN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.9x
Fair PE Ratio9.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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