Stock Analysis

James Hardie Industries plc (ASX:JHX) Shares Slammed 25% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

ASX:JHX
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James Hardie Industries plc (ASX:JHX) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 37% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may still consider James Hardie Industries as a stock to potentially avoid with its 23.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

James Hardie Industries could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for James Hardie Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:JHX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 25th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on James Hardie Industries.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as James Hardie Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 17%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 11% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 27% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 16% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that James Hardie Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On James Hardie Industries' P/E

Despite the recent share price weakness, James Hardie Industries' P/E remains higher than most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of James Hardie Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for James Hardie Industries with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:JHX

James Hardie Industries

Engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded building products for interior and exterior building construction applications primarily in the United States, Australia, Europe, New Zealand, and the Philippines.

High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.

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