Stock Analysis

Catalyst Metals (ASX:CYL) shareholders are up 13% this past week, but still in the red over the last three years

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ASX:CYL
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It is a pleasure to report that the Catalyst Metals Limited (ASX:CYL) is up 77% in the last quarter. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. Regrettably, the share price slid 66% in that period. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. The rise has some hopeful, but turnarounds are often precarious.

The recent uptick of 13% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Catalyst Metals

Catalyst Metals isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last three years, Catalyst Metals saw its revenue grow by 65% per year, compound. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. In contrast, the share price is down 18% compound, over three years - disappointing by most standards. This could mean hype has come out of the stock because the losses are concerning investors. But a share price drop of that magnitude could well signal that the market is overly negative on the stock.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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ASX:CYL Earnings and Revenue Growth November 30th 2023

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Catalyst Metals

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 1.1% in the last year, Catalyst Metals shareholders lost 25%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Catalyst Metals has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Catalyst Metals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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