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Core Lithium LtdASX:CXO Stock Report

Market Cap AU$904.1m
Share Price
AU$0.32
AU$0.31
4.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y350.7%
7D0%
Portfolio Value
View

Core Lithium Ltd

ASX:CXO Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$904.1m

Core Lithium (CXO) Stock Overview

Engages in the development of lithium and various metal deposits in Northern Territory and South Australia. More details

CXO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

CXO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 56 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Materials opportunity

Core Lithium Ltd Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Core Lithium
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$0.32
52 Week HighAU$0.39
52 Week LowAU$0.068
Beta0.76
1 Month Change25.49%
3 Month Change45.45%
1 Year Change350.70%
3 Year Change-68.63%
5 Year Change45.45%
Change since IPO52.38%

Recent News & Updates

CXO: Higher P/E And Tighter Margins Will Shape Restart Execution Outcomes

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Core Lithium to reflect a higher implied future P/E of about 36.8x and a lower projected profit margin of around 11.8%, indicating a more cautious earnings outlook, while their fair value estimate of A$0.31 per share remains unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Core Lithium points to a mixed but informative set of views that can help you think about the current valuation and execution risks.

CXO: Future Restart Progress And Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns

The Core Lithium analyst price target has shifted to A$0.31 from A$0.29. Analysts point to updated assumptions on long term revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple as the key drivers of the change.

CXO: Future Project Delivery And Restart Progress Will Support Returns

Analysts have held their Core Lithium fair value estimate steady at A$0.29 per share, with only marginal model tweaks to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions. This reflects a view that the stock's current setup still offers a similar balance of risk and potential reward as before.

CXO: Lower Risk Assumptions And Higher P/E Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have lifted the Core Lithium fair value estimate from A$0.26 to about A$0.29, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, forecasts of significant revenue growth, tighter profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation work on Core Lithium sits against a backdrop of busy research activity in other materials names, where analysts have been actively adjusting ratings and price targets in response to share price moves and changing risk assessments.

Recent updates

CXO: Higher P/E And Tighter Margins Will Shape Restart Execution Outcomes

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Core Lithium to reflect a higher implied future P/E of about 36.8x and a lower projected profit margin of around 11.8%, indicating a more cautious earnings outlook, while their fair value estimate of A$0.31 per share remains unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Core Lithium points to a mixed but informative set of views that can help you think about the current valuation and execution risks.

CXO: Future Restart Progress And Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns

The Core Lithium analyst price target has shifted to A$0.31 from A$0.29. Analysts point to updated assumptions on long term revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple as the key drivers of the change.

CXO: Future Project Delivery And Restart Progress Will Support Returns

Analysts have held their Core Lithium fair value estimate steady at A$0.29 per share, with only marginal model tweaks to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions. This reflects a view that the stock's current setup still offers a similar balance of risk and potential reward as before.

CXO: Lower Risk Assumptions And Higher P/E Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have lifted the Core Lithium fair value estimate from A$0.26 to about A$0.29, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, forecasts of significant revenue growth, tighter profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation work on Core Lithium sits against a backdrop of busy research activity in other materials names, where analysts have been actively adjusting ratings and price targets in response to share price moves and changing risk assessments.

CXO: Higher Discount Rate And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Future Earnings Profile

Narrative Update on Core Lithium Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Core Lithium from about A$0.09 to A$0.26, citing updated assumptions around a higher projected revenue growth rate, a slightly higher discount rate, a stronger profit margin outlook, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on building materials groups such as Cemex highlights how quickly sentiment can swing when forecasts, price targets, or ratings move, and that is a useful reference point for anyone looking at Core Lithium.

BP33, Shoobridge And Blackbeard Drilling Will Improve Lithium Extraction

Core Lithium’s fair value estimate has declined, as a significant drop in its future P/E multiple more than offsets a modest improvement in expected profit margins, leading consensus analyst price targets down from A$0.108 to A$0.093. What's in the News Core Lithium completed a follow-on equity offering, raising AUD 50 million by issuing 476,190,476 ordinary shares at AUD 0.105 per share with a small discount, including a subsequent direct listing.

Industry Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Revenue Forecasts

Jun 26
Industry Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Revenue Forecasts
User avatar

BP33, Shoobridge And Blackbeard Drilling Will Improve Lithium Extraction

Optimizing BP33 and enhancing processing efficiencies may boost future revenue and earnings through improved recoveries and reduced operating costs.

These Analysts Just Made An Incredible Downgrade To Their Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) EPS Forecasts

Jan 24
These Analysts Just Made An Incredible Downgrade To Their Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) EPS Forecasts

Core Lithium Ltd's (ASX:CXO) Share Price Boosted 28% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Jan 21
Core Lithium Ltd's (ASX:CXO) Share Price Boosted 28% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Surges 38% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Sep 30
Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Surges 38% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Will Core Lithium (ASX:CXO) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

Aug 08
Will Core Lithium (ASX:CXO) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

Calculating The Fair Value Of Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO)

Jun 30
Calculating The Fair Value Of Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO)

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Core Lithium (ASX:CXO)

Mar 02
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Core Lithium (ASX:CXO)

Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Estimates

Jan 25
Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Estimates

New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO)

Oct 06
New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO)

Why Core Lithium's (ASX:CXO) Healthy Earnings Aren’t As Good As They Seem

Oct 05
Why Core Lithium's (ASX:CXO) Healthy Earnings Aren’t As Good As They Seem

Is Core Lithium (ASX:CXO) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

Sep 20
Is Core Lithium (ASX:CXO) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

Calculating The Fair Value Of Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO)

Jun 12
Calculating The Fair Value Of Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO)

An Intrinsic Calculation For Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Suggests It's 34% Undervalued

Feb 24
An Intrinsic Calculation For Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Suggests It's 34% Undervalued

Shareholder Returns

CXOAU Metals and MiningAU Market
7D0%-2.0%-0.3%
1Y350.7%49.8%6.2%

Return vs Industry: CXO exceeded the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 49.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CXO exceeded the Australian Market which returned 6.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CXO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CXO volatility
CXO Average Weekly Movement12.0%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement12.2%
Market Average Movement10.6%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market17.5%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market4.5%

Stable Share Price: CXO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: CXO's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2010n/aPaul Browncorelithium.com.au

Core Lithium Ltd engages in the development of lithium and various metal deposits in Northern Territory and South Australia. It primarily explores for gold, silver, uranium, lead, zinc, rare earth elements, and base metals. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Core Lithium Ltd Fundamentals Summary

How do Core Lithium's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CXO fundamental statistics
Market capAU$904.10m
Earnings (TTM)-AU$25.48m
Revenue (TTM)n/a
-385.5x
P/S Ratio
-36.6x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CXO income statement (TTM)
Revenue-AU$2.42m
Cost of Revenue-AU$91.00k
Gross Profit-AU$2.33m
Other ExpensesAU$23.15m
Earnings-AU$25.48m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.0087
Gross Margin96.24%
Net Profit Margin1,052.58%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did CXO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 09:26
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Core Lithium Ltd is covered by 17 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Taylor GuyotBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Richard KnightsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited