Stock Analysis

Industry Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) Revenue Forecasts

ASX:CXO
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Celebrations may be in order for Core Lithium Ltd (ASX:CXO) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.

Following the latest upgrade, the four analysts covering Core Lithium provided consensus estimates of AU$675k revenue in 2025, which would reflect a painful 99% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Before the latest update, the analysts were foreseeing AU$595k of revenue in 2025. The consensus has definitely become more optimistic, showing a substantial gain in revenue forecasts.

See our latest analysis for Core Lithium

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ASX:CXO Earnings and Revenue Growth June 26th 2025

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 99% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 75% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.5% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Core Lithium is expected to lag the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts lifted their revenue estimates for this year. They're also anticipating slower revenue growth than the wider market. Seeing the dramatic upgrade to this year's forecasts, it might be time to take another look at Core Lithium.

Analysts are clearly in love with Core Lithium at the moment, but before diving in - you should be aware that we've identified some warning flags with the business, such as a short cash runway. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 2 other concerns we've identified .

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.