Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Citigold Corporation Limited (ASX:CTO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Citigold
What Is Citigold's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Citigold had debt of AU$3.56m, up from AU$3.04m in one year. However, it does have AU$221.1k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$3.34m.
A Look At Citigold's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Citigold had liabilities of AU$1.84m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$15.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$221.1k in cash and AU$167.3k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$16.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$15.0m, we think shareholders really should watch Citigold's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Citigold will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Since Citigold has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Citigold produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$2.1m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of AU$1.4m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Citigold is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 4 of those are a bit concerning...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:CTO
Citigold
Engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia.
Medium-low and slightly overvalued.