Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Citigold Corporation Limited (ASX:CTO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Citigold
How Much Debt Does Citigold Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Citigold had AU$2.70m of debt, an increase on AU$1.09m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$608.6k, its net debt is less, at about AU$2.09m.
How Healthy Is Citigold's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Citigold had liabilities of AU$2.19m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$11.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$608.6k and AU$391.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total AU$12.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of AU$17.0m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Citigold's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Citigold's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Citigold has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Citigold produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$1.8m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$1.8m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Citigold has 5 warning signs (and 4 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:CTO
Citigold
Engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia.
Medium-low and slightly overvalued.