Stock Analysis

What Is Brickworks Limited's (ASX:BKW) Share Price Doing?

ASX:BKW
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Brickworks Limited (ASX:BKW), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ASX over the last few months, increasing to AU$20.34 at one point, and dropping to the lows of AU$18.18. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Brickworks' current trading price of AU$18.89 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Brickworks’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Brickworks

What is Brickworks worth?

Good news, investors! Brickworks is still a bargain right now. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is A$29.31, but it is currently trading at AU$18.89 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. Another thing to keep in mind is that Brickworks’s share price may be quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Brickworks look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:BKW Earnings and Revenue Growth February 21st 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Brickworks, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although BKW is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to BKW, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on BKW for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've found that Brickworks has 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Brickworks might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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