Stock Analysis

Here's Why Brickworks (ASX:BKW) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

ASX:BKW
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Brickworks Limited (ASX:BKW) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Brickworks

How Much Debt Does Brickworks Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Brickworks had AU$662.3m in debt in July 2021; about the same as the year before. However, it does have AU$139.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$522.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:BKW Debt to Equity History December 29th 2021

How Strong Is Brickworks' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Brickworks had liabilities of AU$268.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$1.28b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$139.8m in cash and AU$145.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$1.26b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Brickworks has a market capitalization of AU$3.69b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.99 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.4 hit our confidence in Brickworks like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Brickworks's EBIT was down 53% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Brickworks's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Brickworks recorded free cash flow of 44% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, Brickworks's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider Brickworks to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Brickworks (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Brickworks might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:BKW

Brickworks

Engages in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of building products for the residential and commercial markets in Australia and North America.

Moderate growth potential with imperfect balance sheet.

Community Narratives

Priced for AI perfection - cracks are emerging
Fair Value US$90.15|42.74% overvalued
ChadWisperer
ChadWisperer
Community Contributor
NVDA Market Outlook
Fair Value US$341.12|62.277% undervalued
NateF
NateF
Community Contributor
Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) - Buy Baby Buy 🚀
Fair Value AU$5.10|69.118% undervalued
StockMan
StockMan
Community Contributor