If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. And in light of that, the trends we're seeing at BHP Group's (ASX:BHP) look very promising so lets take a look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for BHP Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.42 = US$33b ÷ (US$95b - US$17b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
So, BHP Group has an ROCE of 42%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Metals and Mining industry average of 8.0%.
View our latest analysis for BHP Group
In the above chart we have measured BHP Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering BHP Group here for free.
What Can We Tell From BHP Group's ROCE Trend?
You'd find it hard not to be impressed with the ROCE trend at BHP Group. The figures show that over the last five years, returns on capital have grown by 258%. That's not bad because this tells for every dollar invested (capital employed), the company is increasing the amount earned from that dollar. In regards to capital employed, BHP Group appears to been achieving more with less, since the business is using 26% less capital to run its operation. A business that's shrinking its asset base like this isn't usually typical of a soon to be multi-bagger company.
What We Can Learn From BHP Group's ROCE
In summary, it's great to see that BHP Group has been able to turn things around and earn higher returns on lower amounts of capital. And a remarkable 153% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.
On a final note, we found 2 warning signs for BHP Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:BHP
BHP Group
Operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally.
Outstanding track record and undervalued.
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