Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks That May Be Trading Below Estimated Value In December 2025

As the Australian market experiences a slight retreat, with sectors like Staples, Health Care, and Energy facing declines while Materials show strength, investors are keenly observing potential opportunities amidst fluctuating oil prices and geopolitical developments. In such a climate, identifying stocks that may be trading below their estimated value can offer intriguing prospects for those seeking to capitalize on market inefficiencies.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)A$12.40A$23.5047.2%
LGI (ASX:LGI)A$3.88A$7.5848.8%
IDP Education (ASX:IEL)A$5.57A$10.6247.5%
Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG)A$21.23A$38.6545.1%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$6.86A$13.5649.4%
Electro Optic Systems Holdings (ASX:EOS)A$7.53A$13.7545.2%
Cromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW)A$0.475A$0.8745.2%
Betmakers Technology Group (ASX:BET)A$0.175A$0.3448.5%
Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK)A$1.20A$2.3949.7%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.325A$0.6348.7%

Click here to see the full list of 41 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Underneath we present a selection of stocks filtered out by our screen.

Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK)

Overview: Alkane Resources Ltd is an Australian company focused on gold exploration and production, with a market cap of A$1.64 billion.

Operations: Alkane Resources Ltd generates its revenue primarily from gold exploration and production activities in Australia.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.7%

Alkane Resources is trading at A$1.20, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$2.39, suggesting it is undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a decline in profit margins and substantial shareholder dilution over the past year, Alkane's earnings are forecast to grow significantly above the market average. Recent board changes include appointing Ms. Denise McComish as an independent Non-Executive Director, potentially strengthening financial oversight and strategic direction amid ongoing production expansions at its Tomingley Gold Operations.

ASX:ALK Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
ASX:ALK Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

Lovisa Holdings (ASX:LOV)

Overview: Lovisa Holdings Limited operates in the retail sector, focusing on the sale of fashion jewelry and accessories, with a market capitalization of A$3.18 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$798.13 million from its retail sale of fashion jewelry and accessories.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 29.9%

Lovisa Holdings is trading at A$28.7, well below its estimated fair value of A$40.97, highlighting its undervaluation based on cash flows. Although the dividend yield of 2.68% isn't fully covered by earnings, Lovisa's earnings and revenue are projected to grow faster than the Australian market average over the next few years. The company's recent Annual General Meeting addressed key governance issues, including director elections and remuneration reports, potentially impacting future strategic decisions.

ASX:LOV Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
ASX:LOV Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

Temple & Webster Group (ASX:TPW)

Overview: Temple & Webster Group Ltd operates as an online retailer specializing in furniture, homewares, and home improvement products in Australia, with a market capitalization of A$1.50 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from the sale of furniture, homewares, and home improvement products through its online platform, totaling A$600.72 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 10.3%

Temple & Webster Group is trading at A$12.5, slightly below its estimated fair value of A$13.93, indicating some undervaluation based on cash flows. While revenue growth is expected to be moderate at 15% annually, earnings are projected to increase significantly by 30.18% per year, outpacing the Australian market average. Recent discussions during shareholder meetings focused on governance matters like director elections and remuneration reports, which could influence strategic directions moving forward.

ASX:TPW Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
ASX:TPW Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

Summing It All Up

Interested In Other Possibilities?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:TPW

Temple & Webster Group

Engages in the online retail of furniture, homewares, and home improvement products through its online platform in Australia.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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