Temple & Webster Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Temple & Webster Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 31% and 7.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14% in 3 years.
Key information
31.0%
Earnings growth rate
31.22%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail earnings growth | 11.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.2% |
| Future return on equity | 14.01% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 19 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 19
TPW: Reset Assumptions Will Support Premium Multiple Over Time
Analysts have reset their fair value estimate for Temple & Webster Group from A$21.23 to A$13.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Reset from A$21.23 to A$13.00, a sizeable downward revision to the estimated intrinsic value per share.
Narrative Update • May 04
TPW: Citi Upgrade And Cautious Assumptions May Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Temple & Webster Group to A$7.30 from A$8.00, citing updated assumptions about discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research coverage, including a Citi upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research, including the latest fair value adjustment to A$7.30, highlights that analysts are taking a more measured view of Temple & Webster Group despite positive headlines around coverage updates.Narrative Update • Apr 19
TPW: Rebased Profit Outlook May Support Upside From Cautious New Fair Value
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Temple & Webster Group from A$17.70 to A$8.00. This revision reflects updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following recent research, including the latest upgrade and supporting rationale from the Street.Narrative Update • Apr 05
TPW: Higher Margin Confidence Will Support Premium Multiple Over Time
Analysts have raised their A$ price target on Temple & Webster Group to A$21.23, reflecting slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a modest adjustment to the discount rate, and a refined forward P/E of about 64x. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on Temple & Webster Group, with bullish analysts refining their assumptions on growth, profitability, and risk to support higher valuation levels.Narrative Update • Mar 21
TPW: Reset Multiples And Margin Discipline Will Support Constructive Rerating Path
Analysts have reduced their price target for Temple & Webster Group to about A$21.23 from roughly A$26.23 as updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples are incorporated into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of bullish analysts who remain constructive on Temple & Webster Group despite the lower consensus price target.Narrative Update • Mar 07
TPW: Clearer Earnings Path Will Support Constructive Rerating Case
Narrative update Analysts now see Temple & Webster as fairly valued around A$26.23 per share. This reflects small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions following recent research that supported a more constructive view on the business.Narrative Update • Feb 21
TPW: Citi Upgrade And Earnings Quality Will Support Strong Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Temple & Webster Group from A$29.93 to A$26.23, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations following recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have taken the recent fair value reset to A$26.23 as an opportunity to refine their positive thesis on Temple & Webster Group, focusing on how execution and earnings quality might support that valuation over time.Analysis Article • Feb 12
The Price Is Right For Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW) Even After Diving 40%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) shares are down a considerable 40% in the...Narrative Update • Feb 07
TPW: Slightly Softer Assumptions Will Still Support Strong Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target for Temple & Webster Group slightly lower to about A$29.93 from roughly A$30.41, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted slightly lower from A$30.41 to about A$29.93 per share.Analysis Article • Jan 27
Estimating The Fair Value Of Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Temple & Webster Group is AU$13.87 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Narrative Update • Jan 23
TPW: Steady Fair Value And Assumptions Will Support Strong Future Upside Potential
Analysts have held their price target for Temple & Webster Group steady at A$30.41. Small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions underpin the unchanged view.Narrative Update • Jan 09
TPW: Steady Fair Value And Assumptions Will Support Strong Future Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their A$30.41 price target for Temple & Webster Group, with the unchanged fair value reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Together, these factors support a broadly steady outlook for the shares.Narrative Update • Dec 25
TPW: Higher Required Return Will Still Support Strong Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Temple and Webster Group from A$34.32 to A$30.41. This reflects more conservative assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update • Dec 11
TPW: Private Label Moat Will Support Future E-Commerce Market Share Gains
Analysts made a modest downward revision to their price target for Temple & Webster Group to A$27.65, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate and marginally softer long term growth assumptions, while still highlighting the company's expanding e commerce penetration and differentiated private label offering as key drivers of value. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the reiterated Buy rating and A$27.65 price target signal continued confidence in Temple and Webster Group’s ability to execute on its growth strategy, even with slightly more conservative long term assumptions.Narrative Update • Nov 27
TPW: Private Label Approach Will Build Competitive E-Commerce Moat
The analyst price target for Temple & Webster Group has been revised downward from $27.39 to $21.41. Analysts have moderated their outlook due to revised growth and margin assumptions, while still highlighting the company's differentiated private label strategy as a key strength.Analysis Article • Nov 22
Temple & Webster Group Ltd's (ASX:TPW) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
When close to half the companies in the Specialty Retail industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S...Narrative Update • Aug 15
Focus On Private-Label Products And AI Will Transform The Future Of Home Improvement Retail
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Temple & Webster Group to A$23.76, reflecting moderate optimism despite trimmed earnings expectations and lingering concerns about investors paying up for uncertain long-term growth. Analyst Commentary Despite a solid trading update, earnings expectations were reduced to align with the mid-point of FY26 guidance.Analysis Article • Jul 10
Here's What To Make Of Temple & Webster Group's (ASX:TPW) Decelerating Rates Of Return
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...Analysis Article • May 07
Temple & Webster Group Ltd's (ASX:TPW) 31% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
The Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...Analysis Article • Mar 03
Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW) Shares Could Be 24% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Temple & Webster Group fair value estimate is AU$13.95 Temple...
New Narrative • Feb 22
Focus On Private-Label Products And AI Will Transform The Future Of Home Improvement Retail
Aggressive expansion in home improvement and AI integration are expected to boost future revenue growth and improve net margins.Analysis Article • Feb 15
Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW) Looks Just Right With A 40% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 40...Analysis Article • Oct 01
Is Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value
Key Insights The projected fair value for Temple & Webster Group is AU$10.03 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Sep 11
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW)?
While Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the ASX gainers with...Analysis Article • Aug 17
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Temple & Webster Group Ltd's (ASX:TPW) 27% Share Price Surge
Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Analysis Article • May 25
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Temple & Webster Group Ltd's (ASX:TPW) Price
Temple & Webster Group Ltd's ( ASX:TPW ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x may not look like an appealing...Analysis Article • May 07
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Temple & Webster Group's (ASX:TPW) Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...Analysis Article • Feb 14
Temple & Webster Group Ltd's (ASX:TPW) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 29% Share Price Bounce
Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • Feb 10
At AU$5.19, Is It Time To Put Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW) On Your Watch List?
Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Analysis Article • Dec 07
Temple & Webster Group (ASX:TPW) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...Analysis Article • Oct 31
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW)?
While Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a...Analysis Article • Oct 09
Is Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX:TPW) Trading At A 33% Discount?
Does the October share price for Temple & Webster Group Ltd ( ASX:TPW ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will...Analysis Article • Aug 16
Temple & Webster Group (ASX:TPW) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 781 | 21 | 41 | 43 | 12 |
| 6/30/2027 | 692 | 19 | 35 | 38 | 14 |
| 6/30/2026 | 669 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 14 |
| 12/31/2025 | 663 | 8 | 38 | 42 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 632 | 10 | 41 | 44 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 601 | 11 | 45 | 46 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 579 | 9 | 41 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 558 | 7 | 37 | 37 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 528 | 4 | 30 | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 498 | 2 | 24 | 24 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 470 | 5 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 442 | 9 | 38 | 38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 419 | 8 | 29 | 30 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 396 | 8 | 19 | 22 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 397 | 8 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 398 | 9 | 0 | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 412 | 10 | 4 | 10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 426 | 12 | 8 | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 413 | 11 | 15 | 20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 400 | 9 | 23 | 27 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 363 | 12 | 23 | 26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 326 | 14 | 23 | 25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 295 | 19 | 28 | 29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 264 | 23 | 33 | 34 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 220 | 19 | 29 | 30 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 176 | 14 | 25 | 26 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 151 | 9 | 15 | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 126 | 4 | 4 | 5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 114 | 4 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 102 | 4 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 95 | 4 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 88 | 4 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 80 | 2 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 73 | 0 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 69 | -2 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 65 | -3 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 65 | -6 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 64 | -8 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 64 | -20 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 64 | -31 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 57 | -37 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 51 | -44 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 42 | -32 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 33 | -21 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 30 | -14 | N/A | -7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 26 | -7 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TPW's forecast earnings growth (31% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: TPW's earnings (31% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (11.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: TPW's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: TPW's revenue (7.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (6.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TPW's revenue (7.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TPW's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 16:24 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Temple & Webster Group Ltd is covered by 26 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Forres Salekian | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Aryan Norozi | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Sam Haddad | Bell Potter |