Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For ClearView Wealth Limited (ASX:CVW)

ASX:CVW
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ClearView Wealth Limited's (ASX:CVW) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 49.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 19x and even P/E's below 11x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, ClearView Wealth's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for ClearView Wealth

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:CVW Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 30th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ClearView Wealth will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For ClearView Wealth?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as ClearView Wealth's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 22% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 66% per annum during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why ClearView Wealth is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that ClearView Wealth maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - ClearView Wealth has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than ClearView Wealth. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.