Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that SomnoMed Limited (ASX:SOM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for SomnoMed
How Much Debt Does SomnoMed Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, SomnoMed had AU$16.8m of debt, up from AU$2.34m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds AU$16.9m in cash, so it actually has AU$113.9k net cash.
How Strong Is SomnoMed's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that SomnoMed had liabilities of AU$17.7m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$21.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$16.9m in cash and AU$11.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$11.1m.
Of course, SomnoMed has a market capitalization of AU$82.8m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, SomnoMed boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SomnoMed's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, SomnoMed reported revenue of AU$79m, which is a gain of 19%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
So How Risky Is SomnoMed?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months SomnoMed lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through AU$11m of cash and made a loss of AU$5.2m. With only AU$113.9k on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that SomnoMed is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:SOM
SomnoMed
SomnoMed Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produce and sells devices for the oral treatment of sleep related disorders in the Asia Pacific region, North America, and Europe.
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