Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks That May Be Trading Below Estimated Value In October 2025

As the Australian market experiences fluctuations driven by profit-taking and shifts in global economic sentiment, investors are closely watching sectors like Materials and Energy for opportunities. In this environment, identifying stocks that may be trading below their estimated value can be crucial for those looking to capitalize on potential market inefficiencies.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$3.22A$5.6643.1%
Resimac Group (ASX:RMC)A$1.15A$2.1747%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)A$4.82A$9.2047.6%
MAAS Group Holdings (ASX:MGH)A$4.62A$9.1549.5%
Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR)A$1.06A$2.0849.1%
James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX)A$33.42A$61.4045.6%
DroneShield (ASX:DRO)A$4.79A$9.3048.5%
Cynata Therapeutics (ASX:CYP)A$0.265A$0.4338.9%
Betmakers Technology Group (ASX:BET)A$0.19A$0.3240.1%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.36A$0.7149.5%

Click here to see the full list of 29 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies.

Elders (ASX:ELD)

Overview: Elders Limited operates as a provider of agricultural products and services to rural and regional customers primarily in Australia, with a market cap of A$1.41 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include A$2.70 billion from the Branch Network, A$362.96 million from Wholesale Products, and A$142.30 million from Feed and Processing Services.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.3%

Elders is trading at A$7.39, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$11.41, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. While earnings are projected to grow at 25.8% annually, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate, revenue growth remains moderate at 12.2%. However, recent leadership changes could impact strategic direction and operational performance. Despite a dividend yield of 2.44%, coverage by earnings or free cash flows is inadequate and shareholder dilution occurred last year.

ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

FINEOS Corporation Holdings (ASX:FCL)

Overview: FINEOS Corporation Holdings plc develops and sells enterprise claims and policy management software for life, accident, and health insurers, as well as employee benefits providers across North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa, with a market cap of A$1.01 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segment consists of €135.90 million from software and programming for the insurance and employee benefits sectors across multiple regions.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.0%

FINEOS Corporation Holdings is trading at A$2.97, slightly below its estimated fair value of A$3.45, suggesting it could be undervalued based on cash flows. The company forecasts revenue growth of 9.2% annually, outpacing the Australian market's 7.7%. Recent guidance indicates revenue at the lower end due to currency impacts and economic concerns; however, profitability is expected within three years with increased recurring revenues and gross margins by 2029.

ASX:FCL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:FCL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

PolyNovo (ASX:PNV)

Overview: PolyNovo Limited designs, manufactures, and sells biodegradable medical devices across several countries including Australia, New Zealand, the United States, and others with a market cap of A$901.55 million.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of the NovoSorb technology, amounting to A$128.70 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 22.6%

PolyNovo is trading at A$1.31, below its fair value of A$1.69, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company's earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 27.4% annually, outpacing the Australian market's 14.5%. Recent results showed a revenue increase to A$129.19 million and net income growth to A$13.21 million from the previous year, despite being dropped from the S&P/ASX 200 Index recently and undergoing board changes with Robert Douglas joining as a director.

ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:PNV

PolyNovo

Designs, manufactures, and sells biodegradable medical devices in Australia, New Zealand, the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Singapore, India, and Hong Kong.

Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.

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