Elders Valuation

Is ELD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ELD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ELD (A$7.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$42.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ELD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ELD?

Key metric: As ELD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ELD. This is calculated by dividing ELD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ELD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.2x
EarningsAU$45.08m
Market CapAU$1.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ELD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ELD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.1x
CGC Costa Group Holdings
68.9x39.3%AU$1.5b
RIC Ridley
21.3x11.5%AU$849.8m
DBF Duxton Farms
10.9xn/aAU$56.4m
ING Inghams Group
11.3x5.2%AU$1.1b
ELD Elders
25.2x25.8%AU$1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ELD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the peer average (28.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ELD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ELD 25.2xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ELD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the Global Food industry average (16x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ELD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ELD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.2x
Fair PE Ratio33.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ELD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ELD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$7.19
AU$8.89
+23.6%
7.2%AU$9.75AU$7.90n/a8
Dec ’25AU$7.79
AU$8.89
+14.1%
7.2%AU$9.75AU$7.90n/a8
Nov ’25AU$8.54
AU$8.87
+3.9%
7.4%AU$9.65AU$7.90n/a10
Oct ’25AU$8.55
AU$8.79
+2.8%
7.0%AU$9.65AU$7.90n/a10
Sep ’25AU$9.20
AU$8.83
-4.0%
6.5%AU$9.65AU$7.90n/a11
Aug ’25AU$9.35
AU$8.83
-5.5%
6.5%AU$9.65AU$7.90n/a11
Jul ’25AU$8.11
AU$8.83
+8.9%
6.5%AU$9.65AU$7.90n/a11
Jun ’25AU$8.24
AU$8.83
+7.2%
6.5%AU$9.65AU$7.90n/a11
May ’25AU$8.30
AU$8.60
+3.7%
7.1%AU$9.44AU$7.50n/a11
Apr ’25AU$9.38
AU$8.56
-8.7%
12.8%AU$10.00AU$7.12n/a11
Mar ’25AU$9.17
AU$7.99
-12.9%
10.8%AU$9.50AU$7.02n/a11
Feb ’25AU$8.98
AU$7.86
-12.4%
8.9%AU$9.50AU$7.02n/a12
Jan ’25AU$7.53
AU$7.77
+3.2%
7.1%AU$9.00AU$7.02n/a11
Dec ’24AU$7.25
AU$7.77
+7.2%
7.1%AU$9.00AU$7.02AU$7.7911
Nov ’24AU$5.98
AU$7.27
+21.5%
11.8%AU$9.00AU$6.00AU$8.5411
Oct ’24AU$5.78
AU$7.38
+27.6%
11.2%AU$9.00AU$6.00AU$8.5511
Sep ’24AU$6.41
AU$7.38
+15.1%
11.2%AU$9.00AU$6.00AU$9.2011
Aug ’24AU$7.26
AU$8.60
+18.5%
15.6%AU$12.00AU$7.04AU$9.3510
Jul ’24AU$6.58
AU$8.62
+31.0%
16.4%AU$12.00AU$7.04AU$8.119
Jun ’24AU$6.36
AU$8.64
+35.9%
16.1%AU$12.00AU$7.04AU$8.249
May ’24AU$8.27
AU$11.89
+43.7%
21.2%AU$15.50AU$7.20AU$8.3011
Apr ’24AU$8.63
AU$12.62
+46.3%
23.1%AU$18.40AU$7.20AU$9.3811
Mar ’24AU$9.16
AU$12.84
+40.2%
21.4%AU$18.40AU$8.72AU$9.1711
Feb ’24AU$9.60
AU$12.97
+35.1%
20.2%AU$18.40AU$8.72AU$8.9811
Jan ’24AU$10.14
AU$12.99
+28.1%
20.0%AU$18.40AU$8.72AU$7.5311
Dec ’23AU$10.30
AU$13.33
+29.4%
19.1%AU$18.40AU$8.72AU$7.2511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 21:03
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Elders Limited is covered by 21 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Jonathan SnapeBell Potter
William ParkCitigroup Inc