United Malt Group (ASX:UMG) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at United Malt Group (ASX:UMG), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for United Malt Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.049 = AU$76m ÷ (AU$1.8b - AU$304m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).
Thus, United Malt Group has an ROCE of 4.9%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 5.1%, it's still a low return by itself.
See our latest analysis for United Malt Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for United Malt Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
The trend of ROCE doesn't look fantastic because it's fallen from 9.4% one year ago, while the business's capital employed increased by 30%. However, some of the increase in capital employed could be attributed to the recent capital raising that's been completed prior to their latest reporting period, so keep that in mind when looking at the ROCE decrease. It's unlikely that all of the funds raised have been put to work yet, so as a consequence United Malt Group might not have received a full period of earnings contribution from it.
On a related note, United Malt Group has decreased its current liabilities to 16% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line
To conclude, we've found that United Malt Group is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has gained an impressive 11% over the last year, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for United Malt Group you'll probably want to know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About ASX:UMG
United Malt Group
United Malt Group Limited processes and supplies malt and craft ingredients to brewers, distillers, and food markets in North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, Australia, and Asia.
Moderate growth potential with imperfect balance sheet.