Stock Analysis

Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To A$0.18

ASX:TWE
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Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 4th of April to A$0.18. This will take the annual payment to 2.6% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

Check out our latest analysis for Treasury Wine Estates

Treasury Wine Estates' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before this announcement, Treasury Wine Estates was paying out 85% of earnings, but a comparatively small 58% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 85.4% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 52% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
ASX:TWE Historic Dividend February 17th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was A$0.14 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.36. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.9% over that duration. A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. However, Treasury Wine Estates' EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think Treasury Wine Estates is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Treasury Wine Estates that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Treasury Wine Estates not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Treasury Wine Estates might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.