Stock Analysis

Is Health and Plant Protein Group (ASX:HPP) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

ASX:HPP
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Health and Plant Protein Group Limited (ASX:HPP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Health and Plant Protein Group

What Is Health and Plant Protein Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Health and Plant Protein Group had debt of AU$10.2m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from AU$16.0m over a year. However, it also had AU$229.0k in cash, and so its net debt is AU$10.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:HPP Debt to Equity History June 20th 2023

How Healthy Is Health and Plant Protein Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the balance sheet data, Health and Plant Protein Group had liabilities of AU$37.5m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$229.0k as well as receivables valued at AU$206.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$37.1m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the AU$6.51m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Health and Plant Protein Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Health and Plant Protein Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Health and Plant Protein Group reported revenue of AU$42m, which is a gain of 128%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So its pretty obvious shareholders are hoping for more growth!

Caveat Emptor

Even though Health and Plant Protein Group managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$4.1m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized AU$2.9m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Health and Plant Protein Group (including 3 which are concerning) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Health and Plant Protein Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.