Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 46.9% Below Intrinsic Value

The Australian market has recently shown signs of awakening, with most sectors experiencing gains, led by Financials, while certain areas like staples lagged slightly. In this environment of cautious optimism and sector-specific movements, identifying undervalued stocks can be key to capitalizing on potential opportunities; these stocks are often priced below their intrinsic value and may offer room for growth as the market continues to evolve.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Resimac Group (ASX:RMC)A$1.10A$2.1348.4%
Regis Healthcare (ASX:REG)A$6.53A$11.5443.4%
Reckon (ASX:RKN)A$0.625A$1.1847.1%
PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH)A$1.215A$2.0741.2%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)A$4.61A$8.6346.6%
IDP Education (ASX:IEL)A$5.68A$10.6746.8%
Elders (ASX:ELD)A$7.46A$14.0446.9%
DGL Group (ASX:DGL)A$0.47A$0.7739%
Credit Clear (ASX:CCR)A$0.245A$0.4647.3%
CleanSpace Holdings (ASX:CSX)A$0.745A$1.4047%

Click here to see the full list of 31 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We'll examine a selection from our screener results.

Collins Foods (ASX:CKF)

Overview: Collins Foods Limited operates, manages, and administers restaurants in Australia and Europe with a market cap of A$1.24 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from its operations in KFC Restaurants Australia (A$1.15 billion), KFC Restaurants Europe (A$312.27 million), and Taco Bell Australia (A$53.02 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 37.9%

Collins Foods is trading at A$10.53, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$16.95, indicating a potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a forecasted annual earnings growth of 28.6%, the company's net profit margin has decreased from 3.7% to 0.6% over the past year, and its dividend yield of 2.47% is not well-covered by earnings, highlighting some financial challenges amidst strong projected earnings growth relative to the Australian market.

ASX:CKF Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
ASX:CKF Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

Elders (ASX:ELD)

Overview: Elders Limited offers agricultural products and services to rural and regional customers mainly in Australia, with a market cap of A$1.43 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its Branch Network at A$2.70 billion, followed by Wholesale Products at A$362.96 million, and Feed and Processing Services at A$142.30 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 46.9%

Elders is trading at A$7.46, substantially below its estimated fair value of A$14.04, highlighting a significant undervaluation based on cash flows. Forecasted annual earnings growth of 25.2% outpaces the Australian market's 10.9%, yet recent shareholder dilution and low future return on equity (10.8%) could pose challenges. Leadership changes include Glenn Davis as Chair-elect and Stephanie Nixon joining the Board, bringing expertise in strategy and governance to support Elders' operational focus amidst these financial dynamics.

ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)

Overview: NRW Holdings Limited offers diversified contract services to the resources and infrastructure sectors in Australia, with a market cap of A$2.11 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue from three main segments: Mining (A$1.54 billion), MET (A$932.02 million), and Civil (A$823.72 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 46.6%

NRW Holdings is trading at A$4.61, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$8.63, suggesting undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a drop in net income to A$27.67 million from last year's A$105.1 million, earnings are forecasted to grow annually by 24.5%, surpassing the Australian market's 10.9%. Recent M&A discussions with Fredon Industries and dividend increases indicate strategic growth efforts, although current profit margins remain compressed compared to the previous year.

ASX:NWH Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
ASX:NWH Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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