Stock Analysis

Worley Limited (ASX:WOR) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

ASX:WOR
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Worley (ASX:WOR) has had a rough month with its share price down 13%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Worley's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Worley

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Worley is:

3.2% = AU$188m ÷ AU$5.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every A$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn A$0.03 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Worley's Earnings Growth And 3.2% ROE

It is hard to argue that Worley's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.6%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. In spite of this, Worley was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 66% in the last five years. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then compared Worley's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 36% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:WOR Past Earnings Growth February 5th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for WOR? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Worley Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Worley has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 84%, meaning the company only retains 16% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, Worley has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 64% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 6.3%, over the same period.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Worley certainly does have some positive factors to consider. While no doubt its earnings growth is pretty substantial, we do feel that the reinvestment rate is pretty low, meaning, the earnings growth number could have been significantly higher had the company been retaining more of its profits. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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