Stock Analysis

Here's Why Strike Energy (ASX:STX) Can Afford Some Debt

ASX:STX
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Strike Energy Limited (ASX:STX) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Strike Energy's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, Strike Energy had AU$49.3m of debt, up from AU$24.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$33.2m, its net debt is less, at about AU$16.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:STX Debt to Equity History April 2nd 2025

A Look At Strike Energy's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Strike Energy had liabilities of AU$69.7m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$31.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$33.2m in cash and AU$7.40m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$61.0m.

Given Strike Energy has a market capitalization of AU$473.0m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Strike Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Check out our latest analysis for Strike Energy

Over 12 months, Strike Energy reported revenue of AU$73m, which is a gain of 802%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That's virtually the hole-in-one of revenue growth!

Caveat Emptor

Even though Strike Energy managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$2.1m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$53m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Strike Energy .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.