Peninsula Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Peninsula Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 51.3% and 38.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 53.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21% in 3 years.

Key information

51.3%

Earnings growth rate

53.1%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	8.0%
Revenue growth rate	38.9%
Future return on equity	21.0%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) Analysts Are Reducing Their Forecasts For This Year

Nov 18

We're Not Very Worried About Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Cash Burn Rate

Sep 29

Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet

Aug 25

Peninsula Energy Limited's (ASX:PEN) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Jun 20

Peninsula Energy Limited's (ASX:PEN) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 30%

Jan 17

Analysts' Revenue Estimates For Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) Are Surging Higher

Nov 29

Is Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) Trading At A 30% Discount?

Nov 18

Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Cash Burn Situation

Jul 31

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Returns On Capital

Feb 28

Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Nov 28

Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

Sep 28

Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Aug 24

Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

May 24

Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

Mar 14

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:PEN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	118	42	45	52	4
6/30/2026	81	21	15	33	4
6/30/2025	12	-4	-92	-22	2
6/30/2024	12	-12	-28	5	N/A
3/31/2024	26	-11	-18	10	N/A
12/31/2023	40	-9	-7	15	N/A
9/30/2023	40	-6	-7	10	N/A
6/30/2023	40	-4	-7	5	N/A
3/31/2023	31	-4	-6	2	N/A
12/31/2022	21	-4	-5	-1	N/A
9/30/2022	20	-4	-2	0	N/A
6/30/2022	18	-5	1	2	N/A
3/31/2022	17	-4	-5	-4	N/A
12/31/2021	16	-3	-11	-11	N/A
9/30/2021	13	-2	-14	-14	N/A
6/30/2021	10	-1	-17	-17	N/A
3/31/2021	8	-2	-13	-12	N/A
12/31/2020	7	-2	-8	-8	N/A
9/30/2020	6	-5	-8	-8	N/A
6/30/2020	6	-8	-8	-8	N/A
3/31/2020	5	-24	-9	-8	N/A
12/31/2019	5	-41	-9	-8	N/A
9/30/2019	6	-41	-9	-8	N/A
6/30/2019	7	-40	-8	-7	N/A
3/31/2019	8	-24	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	10	-7	11	13	N/A
9/30/2018	11	1	10	13	N/A
6/30/2018	13	9	10	14	N/A
12/31/2017	20	-13	N/A	1	N/A
9/30/2017	19	-41	N/A	-1	N/A
6/30/2017	18	-68	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2017	15	-61	N/A	-5	N/A
12/31/2016	11	-48	N/A	-8	N/A
9/30/2016	9	-26	N/A	-6	N/A
6/30/2016	6	-4	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2016	3	-4	N/A	-5	N/A
12/31/2015	0	-4	N/A	-5	N/A
9/30/2015	0	-4	N/A	-4	N/A
6/30/2015	N/A	-4	N/A	-4	N/A
3/31/2015	0	-4	N/A	-4	N/A
12/31/2014	0	-4	N/A	-4	N/A
9/30/2014	0	-5	N/A	-4	N/A
6/30/2014	0	-6	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2014	0	-8	N/A	-6	N/A
12/31/2013	0	-9	N/A	-7	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PEN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: PEN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: PEN is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PEN's revenue (38.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PEN's revenue (38.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PEN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 20:42
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Peninsula Energy Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
James Bullen	Canaccord Genuity
Heiko Ihle	H.C. Wainwright & Co.
Rhys Bradley	Pareto Securities

Peninsula Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 55%, revenue upgraded

Price target decreased by 13% to AU$0.19

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2025

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 18%

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

Price target decreased by 9.0% to AU$0.23

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 55%, revenue upgraded

New major risk - Market cap size

Price target decreased by 13% to AU$0.19

Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) Analysts Are Reducing Their Forecasts For This Year

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2025

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 18%

Peninsula Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2024

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

We're Not Very Worried About Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Cash Burn Rate

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet

Price target decreased by 9.0% to AU$0.23

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Price target decreased by 11% to AU$0.24

Peninsula Energy Limited's (ASX:PEN) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2024

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2024

Peninsula Energy Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 105.875075 million.

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

First half 2024 earnings released: US$0.007 loss per share (vs US$0.003 loss in 1H 2023)

New major risk - Share price stability

Price target increased by 12% to AU$0.27

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 100%

Peninsula Energy Limited's (ASX:PEN) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 30%

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

Peninsula Energy Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 50 million.

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2025

Price target decreased by 7.3% to AU$0.24

Analysts' Revenue Estimates For Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) Are Surging Higher

Consensus EPS estimates have been upgraded.

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2025

New major risk - Share price stability

Peninsula Energy Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 50 million.

Peninsula Energy Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 50 million.

Is Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) Trading At A 30% Discount?

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 68%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 14%

Peninsula Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: US$0.003 loss per share (vs US$0.005 loss in FY 2022)

Peninsula Energy Limited and Strata Energy Inc. Announces the Results for A Revised Production Plan on the Ross & Kendrick Production Areas Within its 100% Owed Flagship Lance Projects

New major risk - Financial position

MD, CEO & Director exercised options to buy AU$125k worth of stock.

Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Cash Burn Situation

New minor risk - Market cap size

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

Price target decreased by 9.9% to AU$0.33

Investors Will Want Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Growth In ROCE To Persist

New major risk - Financial position

Why We're Not Concerned About Peninsula Energy Limited's (ASX:PEN) Share Price

We're Not Worried About Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Cash Burn

First half 2023 earnings released: US$0.003 loss per share (vs US$0.004 loss in 1H 2022)

Peninsula Energy Limited Appoints Rachel Rees as Joint Company Secretary

MD, CEO & Director recently bought AU$183k worth of stock

Price target increased to AU$0.37

Consensus forecasts updated

Peninsula Energy Limited Announces Resignation of Ron Chamberlain as Chief Financial Officer

Consensus forecasts updated

Peninsula Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 29, 2022

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

MD, CEO & Director exercised options to buy AU$160k worth of stock.

Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2023

Less than half of directors are independent

Peninsula Energy Limited Appoints Brian Booth as Non-Executive Director

We're Not Very Worried About Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Cash Burn Rate

Price target increased to AU$0.43

High number of new directors

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Peninsula Energy's (ASX:PEN) Returns On Capital