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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Norwest Energy's (ASX:NWE) Cash Burn Situation
Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, Norwest Energy (ASX:NWE) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 550%. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Norwest Energy shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
See our latest analysis for Norwest Energy
When Might Norwest Energy Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Norwest Energy last reported its balance sheet in June 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$3.5m. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$1.4m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.5 years as of June 2021. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Is Norwest Energy's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Although Norwest Energy reported revenue of AU$304k last year, it didn't actually have any revenue from operations. To us, that makes it a pre-revenue company, so we'll look to its cash burn trajectory as an assessment of its cash burn situation. With cash burn dropping by 18% it seems management feel the company is spending enough to advance its business plans at an appropriate pace. Norwest Energy makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.
How Hard Would It Be For Norwest Energy To Raise More Cash For Growth?
While Norwest Energy is showing a solid reduction in its cash burn, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Norwest Energy's cash burn of AU$1.4m is about 1.0% of its AU$144m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.
So, Should We Worry About Norwest Energy's Cash Burn?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Norwest Energy is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap suggests that the company is on a good path. On this analysis its cash burn reduction was its weakest feature, but we are not concerned about it. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn, which seems to be under control. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 4 warning signs for Norwest Energy (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:NWE
Norwest Energy
Norwest Energy NL is involved in the exploration of hydrocarbon resources in Australia.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.