Stock Analysis

Institutional owners may consider drastic measures as Boss Energy Limited's (ASX:BOE) recent AU$94m drop adds to long-term losses

ASX:BOE
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Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Boss Energy's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • A total of 8 investors have a majority stake in the company with 52% ownership
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

If you want to know who really controls Boss Energy Limited (ASX:BOE), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 72% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's share price fell by 6.7% last week. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 27% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Often called “market movers", institutions wield significant power in influencing the price dynamics of any stock. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell Boss Energy which might hurt individual investors.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Boss Energy.

Check out our latest analysis for Boss Energy

ownership-breakdown
ASX:BOE Ownership Breakdown November 4th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Boss Energy?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Boss Energy does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Boss Energy's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:BOE Earnings and Revenue Growth November 4th 2024

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. Boss Energy is not owned by hedge funds. State Street Global Advisors, Inc. is currently the company's largest shareholder with 8.3% of shares outstanding. The second and third largest shareholders are Sprott Inc. and ALPS Advisors, Inc., with an equal amount of shares to their name at 7.9%.

We also observed that the top 8 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Boss Energy

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

We can see that insiders own shares in Boss Energy Limited. As individuals, the insiders collectively own AU$39m worth of the AU$1.3b company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 21% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Boss Energy (2 make us uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Boss Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.