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Improved Revenues Required Before Australis Oil & Gas Limited (ASX:ATS) Shares Find Their Feet
Australis Oil & Gas Limited's (ASX:ATS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 6.9x and even P/S above 197x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
See our latest analysis for Australis Oil & Gas
What Does Australis Oil & Gas' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Australis Oil & Gas could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Australis Oil & Gas.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Australis Oil & Gas' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 38% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 13% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 82% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Australis Oil & Gas' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Australis Oil & Gas' P/S?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Australis Oil & Gas' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Australis Oil & Gas that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Australis Oil & Gas, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:ATS
Australis Oil & Gas
An upstream oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas assets.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.