Stock Analysis

Cash Converters International's(ASX:CCV) Share Price Is Down 55% Over The Past Five Years.

ASX:CCV
Source: Shutterstock

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But that doesn't mean long term investors can avoid big losses. To wit, the Cash Converters International Limited (ASX:CCV) share price managed to fall 55% over five long years. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. It's up 13% in the last seven days.

View our latest analysis for Cash Converters International

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Cash Converters International has made a profit in the past. On the other hand, it reported a trailing twelve months loss, suggesting it isn't reliably profitable. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

The revenue fall of 0.5% per year for five years is neither good nor terrible. But it's quite possible the market had expected better; a closer look at the revenue trends might explain the pessimism.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:CCV Earnings and Revenue Growth November 29th 2020

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Cash Converters International's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Cash Converters International shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 52%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 1.7% in the last year, Cash Converters International shareholders lost 8.3%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 9% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Cash Converters International better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Cash Converters International is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like Cash Converters International better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:CCV

Cash Converters International

Operates as a franchisor and retailer of second-hand goods and financial services stores under the Cash Converters brand name in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential average dividend payer.

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