Stock Analysis

G8 Education (ASX:GEM) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At A$0.035

G8 Education Limited (ASX:GEM) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 3rd of April to A$0.035, which will be 17% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of A$0.03. This takes the dividend yield to 4.0%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

See our latest analysis for G8 Education

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G8 Education's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last dividend was quite easily covered by G8 Education's earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 44.8%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 37% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
ASX:GEM Historic Dividend March 3rd 2025

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was A$0.14, compared to the most recent full-year payment of A$0.055. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 8.9% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

G8 Education May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. In the last five years, G8 Education's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 3.0% per annum. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for G8 Education that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:GEM

G8 Education

Provides early childhood education and care services in Australia.

Undervalued with proven track record and pays a dividend.

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