Stock Analysis

Market Cool On EDU Holdings Limited's (ASX:EDU) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Lower

ASX:EDU
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, EDU Holdings Limited (ASX:EDU) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 63% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think EDU Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Australia's Consumer Services industry is similar at about 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for EDU Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:EDU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 12th 2024

How Has EDU Holdings Performed Recently?

EDU Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on EDU Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For EDU Holdings?

EDU Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 48%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 20% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 0.3%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's curious that EDU Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Following EDU Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that EDU Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for EDU Holdings you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EDU Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.