Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Eumundi Group Limited (ASX:EBG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Eumundi Group
How Much Debt Does Eumundi Group Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Eumundi Group had AU$27.5m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has AU$1.37m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$26.1m.
How Healthy Is Eumundi Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Eumundi Group had liabilities of AU$4.87m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$30.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$1.37m as well as receivables valued at AU$989.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$33.0m.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$41.5m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.8, it's fair to say Eumundi Group does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.5 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Even worse, Eumundi Group saw its EBIT tank 45% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Eumundi Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Eumundi Group recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
To be frank both Eumundi Group's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Eumundi Group has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Eumundi Group (including 2 which are a bit concerning) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About ASX:EBG
Eumundi Group
Engages in the hotel operation and property investment businesses in Australia.
Proven track record slight.