Is There Now An Opportunity In Downer EDI Limited (ASX:DOW)?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
December 07, 2021
ASX:DOW
Source: Shutterstock

While Downer EDI Limited (ASX:DOW) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ASX, rising to highs of AU$6.76 and falling to the lows of AU$5.64. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Downer EDI's current trading price of AU$5.85 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Downer EDI’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Downer EDI

Is Downer EDI still cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 22.76x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 20.89x, which means if you buy Downer EDI today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe that Downer EDI should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Downer EDI’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Downer EDI generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:DOW Earnings and Revenue Growth December 7th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 56% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Downer EDI. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? DOW’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at DOW? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DOW, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for DOW, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Downer EDI.

If you are no longer interested in Downer EDI, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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