Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies BSA Limited (ASX:BSA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for BSA
What Is BSA's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2020, BSA had AU$2.12m of debt, up from AU$1.77m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have AU$37.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of AU$35.6m.
A Look At BSA's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that BSA had liabilities of AU$98.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$16.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$37.7m and AU$59.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total AU$17.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, BSA has a market capitalization of AU$125.7m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, BSA also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Importantly, BSA's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 47% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if BSA can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While BSA has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, BSA produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing up
Although BSA's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of AU$35.6m. The cherry on top was that in converted 70% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in AU$17m. So we are not troubled with BSA's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - BSA has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About ASX:BSA
BSA
Offers communications and utilities infrastructure, and property solutions in Australia.
Undervalued with solid track record.