Is Now The Time To Put XRF Scientific (ASX:XRF) On Your Watchlist?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
October 01, 2021
ASX:XRF
Source: Shutterstock

Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. Unfortunately, high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson.

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in XRF Scientific (ASX:XRF). Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, but time is often a friend of the profitable company, especially if it is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for XRF Scientific

XRF Scientific's Improving Profits

In the last three years XRF Scientific's earnings per share took off like a rocket; fast, and from a low base. So the actual rate of growth doesn't tell us much. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Like a wedge-tailed eagle on the wind, XRF Scientific's EPS soared from AU$0.023 to AU$0.038, in just one year. That's a impressive gain of 63%.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. XRF Scientific shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 15% to 19%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:XRF Earnings and Revenue History October 2nd 2021

While we live in the present moment at all times, there's no doubt in my mind that the future matters more than the past. So why not check this interactive chart depicting future EPS estimates, for XRF Scientific?

Are XRF Scientific Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

We note that XRF Scientific insiders spent AU$226k on stock, over the last year; in contrast, we didn't see any selling. That puts the company in a nice light, as it makes me think its leaders are feeling confident. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Non-Executive Director David Brown for AU$90k worth of shares, at about AU$0.30 per share.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that XRF Scientific insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Indeed, they hold AU$22m worth of its stock. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. That amounts to 28% of the company, demonstrating a degree of high-level alignment with shareholders.

Is XRF Scientific Worth Keeping An Eye On?

For growth investors like me, XRF Scientific's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. On top of that, insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. So it's fair to say I think this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. It is worth noting though that we have found 3 warning signs for XRF Scientific that you need to take into consideration.

The good news is that XRF Scientific is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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