Stock Analysis

Fluence Corporation Limited's (ASX:FLC) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

ASX:FLC
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Fluence Corporation Limited's (ASX:FLC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 35x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Fluence

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:FLC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2024

What Does Fluence's Recent Performance Look Like?

Fluence could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Fluence's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Fluence?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Fluence's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 22% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 17% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.2% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Fluence's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does Fluence's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

A look at Fluence's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Fluence you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fluence's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Fluence is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.