Stock Analysis

DataDot Technology Limited (ASX:DDT) Shares May Have Slumped 33% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

ASX:DDT
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the DataDot Technology Limited (ASX:DDT) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 60% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, DataDot Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for DataDot Technology as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for DataDot Technology

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ASX:DDT Price Based on Past Earnings March 3rd 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on DataDot Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

DataDot Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 431% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that DataDot Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From DataDot Technology's P/E?

There's still some solid strength behind DataDot Technology's P/E, if not its share price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that DataDot Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for DataDot Technology (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than DataDot Technology. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.