To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. And from a first read, things don't look too good at Flughafen Wien (VIE:FLU), so let's see why.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Flughafen Wien:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0018 = €3.5m ÷ (€2.2b - €337m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Flughafen Wien has an ROCE of 0.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 6.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for Flughafen Wien
In the above chart we have measured Flughafen Wien's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Flughafen Wien here for free.
What Can We Tell From Flughafen Wien's ROCE Trend?
There is reason to be cautious about Flughafen Wien, given the returns are trending downwards. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 8.3% that they were earning five years ago. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Flughafen Wien to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, it's unfortunate that Flughafen Wien is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 51% return. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Flughafen Wien that you might find interesting.
While Flughafen Wien isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WBAG:FLU
Flughafen Wien
Engages in the construction and operation of civil airports and related facilities in Austria and Malta.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.