Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik (VIE:ATS) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

WBAG:ATS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik Aktiengesellschaft (VIE:ATS) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik

What Is AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik had €1.51b of debt, an increase on €1.45b, over one year. However, it does have €662.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €851.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WBAG:ATS Debt to Equity History August 29th 2023

A Look At AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik had liabilities of €1.15b due within a year, and liabilities of €1.83b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €662.1m as well as receivables valued at €330.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.99b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €1.26b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.6 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Even worse, AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik saw its EBIT tank 64% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't such a worry. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About WBAG:ATS

AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik

AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes printed circuit boards in Austria, Germany, Other European Countries, China, Other Asian Countries, and the Americas.

Good value with reasonable growth potential.