Nintendo Valuation

Is NTO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NTO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NTO (€50.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€37.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NTO is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTO?

Key metric: As NTO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NTO. This is calculated by dividing NTO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NTO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.1x
EarningsJP¥327.96b
Market CapJP¥9.55t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NTO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NTO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25x
9999 NetEase
14.7x9.2%HK$437.9b
EA Electronic Arts
41.1x13.0%US$42.3b
9766 Konami Group
28.6x6.7%JP¥2.0t
A259960 KRAFTON
15.6x9.1%₩13.4t
NTO Nintendo
29.1x12.0%€9.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NTO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NTO 29.1xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NTO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NTO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NTO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NTO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NTO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€50.32
€55.06
+9.4%
16.1%€65.36€35.43n/a22
Nov ’25€48.46
€55.37
+14.3%
16.0%€65.86€36.93n/a22
Oct ’25€47.82
€55.76
+16.6%
15.9%€66.86€38.12n/a21
Sep ’25€48.88
€56.40
+15.4%
15.8%€67.66€38.57n/a22
Aug ’25€49.56
€53.18
+7.3%
15.5%€64.09€36.54n/a21
Jul ’25€50.30
€51.70
+2.8%
15.4%€62.55€35.66n/a21
Jun ’25€50.14
€50.88
+1.5%
16.8%€63.04€35.94n/a22
May ’25€45.81
€51.07
+11.5%
18.0%€71.26€36.23n/a22
Apr ’25€50.70
€52.32
+3.2%
19.9%€74.01€37.62n/a21
Mar ’25€52.20
€51.64
-1.1%
19.5%€73.52€37.37n/a19
Feb ’25€52.12
€47.59
-8.7%
14.7%€58.73€35.62n/a19
Jan ’25€46.43
€45.79
-1.4%
15.1%€59.97€32.89n/a20
Dec ’24€43.18
€42.30
-2.0%
16.7%€56.64€28.02n/a21
Nov ’24€39.70
€43.29
+9.0%
15.2%€56.42€29.16€48.4622
Oct ’24€39.46
€42.89
+8.7%
14.5%€51.54€29.27€47.8221
Sep ’24€39.58
€42.75
+8.0%
14.5%€51.32€29.15€48.8820
Aug ’24€40.80
€43.39
+6.4%
17.0%€53.11€23.60€49.5620
Jul ’24€41.70
€40.00
-4.1%
15.9%€51.38€22.84€50.3018
Jun ’24€40.01
€40.53
+1.3%
18.3%€53.92€19.31€50.1418
May ’24€38.08
€39.63
+4.1%
19.1%€53.95€19.32€45.8118
Apr ’24€35.97
€42.09
+17.0%
19.4%€57.03€20.42€50.7018
Mar ’24€35.18
€42.93
+22.0%
21.2%€56.47€19.97€52.2018
Feb ’24€39.63
€47.71
+20.4%
20.2%€63.82€17.81€52.1218
Jan ’24€39.41
€48.52
+23.1%
19.9%€64.11€17.47€46.4318
Dec ’23€40.77
€47.76
+17.1%
20.0%€62.62€17.07€43.1817
Nov ’23€41.63
€48.20
+15.8%
19.7%€60.42€17.22€39.7017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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