NetEase Valuation
Is 9999 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 9999 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 9999 (HK$136.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$243.94)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 9999 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9999?
Key metric: As 9999 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 9999's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 14.9x |
| Earnings | CN¥27.51b |
| Market Cap | CN¥409.12b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 9999's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 14.3x | ||
3888 Kingsoft | 30.1x | 20.2% | HK$42.0b |
777 NetDragon Websoft Holdings | 11x | 32.1% | HK$5.3b |
799 IGG | 5.5x | 1.1% | HK$4.2b |
434 Boyaa Interactive International | 10.5x | n/a | HK$2.8b |
9999 NetEase | 14.9x | 8.9% | HK$439.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9999 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (14.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 9999's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Entertainment Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9999 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the Asian Entertainment industry average (28.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 9999's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 14.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 18.3x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9999 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$136.40 | HK$173.69 +27.3% | 13.8% | HK$244.99 | HK$115.12 | n/a | 23 |
| Nov ’25 | HK$123.60 | HK$179.05 +44.9% | 14.5% | HK$245.86 | HK$116.52 | n/a | 22 |
| Oct ’25 | HK$150.50 | HK$183.52 +21.9% | 13.8% | HK$249.48 | HK$118.23 | n/a | 23 |
| Sep ’25 | HK$127.70 | HK$184.41 +44.4% | 13.5% | HK$247.92 | HK$117.49 | n/a | 22 |
| Aug ’25 | HK$143.40 | HK$202.50 +41.2% | 11.3% | HK$245.88 | HK$133.96 | n/a | 22 |
| Jul ’25 | HK$149.10 | HK$203.22 +36.3% | 10.9% | HK$245.20 | HK$133.59 | n/a | 23 |
| Jun ’25 | HK$137.60 | HK$203.95 +48.2% | 10.5% | HK$246.53 | HK$134.31 | n/a | 24 |
| May ’25 | HK$150.30 | HK$209.22 +39.2% | 9.7% | HK$249.18 | HK$132.31 | n/a | 24 |
| Apr ’25 | HK$162.80 | HK$209.64 +28.8% | 9.6% | HK$247.72 | HK$132.43 | n/a | 24 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$172.80 | HK$210.60 +21.9% | 10.2% | HK$248.98 | HK$128.57 | n/a | 23 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$155.80 | HK$210.92 +35.4% | 10.8% | HK$270.25 | HK$129.35 | n/a | 24 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$140.60 | HK$209.01 +48.7% | 13.4% | HK$271.38 | HK$129.90 | n/a | 24 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$175.80 | HK$210.24 +19.6% | 10.9% | HK$268.98 | HK$129.78 | n/a | 25 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$167.60 | HK$187.94 +12.1% | 12.1% | HK$235.41 | HK$109.14 | HK$123.60 | 23 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$159.50 | HK$187.80 +17.7% | 12.0% | HK$236.02 | HK$109.43 | HK$150.50 | 23 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$163.80 | HK$189.67 +15.8% | 12.2% | HK$237.22 | HK$107.67 | HK$127.70 | 24 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$171.60 | HK$183.53 +6.9% | 12.3% | HK$239.66 | HK$109.11 | HK$143.40 | 24 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$152.60 | HK$175.85 +15.2% | 12.8% | HK$237.47 | HK$108.11 | HK$149.10 | 25 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$131.70 | HK$175.77 +33.5% | 15.0% | HK$241.95 | HK$87.76 | HK$137.60 | 25 |
| May ’24 | HK$138.60 | HK$168.37 +21.5% | 14.6% | HK$216.97 | HK$90.27 | HK$150.30 | 25 |
| Apr ’24 | HK$138.00 | HK$166.86 +20.9% | 15.1% | HK$218.55 | HK$90.93 | HK$162.80 | 25 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$131.30 | HK$167.07 +27.2% | 15.1% | HK$218.77 | HK$91.02 | HK$172.80 | 25 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$143.60 | HK$171.36 +19.3% | 18.7% | HK$230.27 | HK$95.95 | HK$155.80 | 24 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$114.50 | HK$165.12 +44.2% | 18.8% | HK$222.46 | HK$92.69 | HK$140.60 | 26 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$107.80 | HK$160.07 +48.5% | 18.7% | HK$215.09 | HK$89.62 | HK$175.80 | 26 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$92.25 | HK$168.65 +82.8% | 16.1% | HK$213.46 | HK$114.06 | HK$167.60 | 24 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Maoyan Entertainment
HK$9.3b
An investment holding company, operates a platform in the entertainment industry in the People’s Republic of China.
1896
HK$8.06
7D
-3.8%
1Y
-15.7%
Tencent Holdings
HK$3.7t
An investment holding company, offers value-added services (VAS), online advertising, fintech, and business services in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
80700
HK$373.40
7D
0.3%
1Y
26.7%
Maoyan Entertainment
HK$9.3b
An investment holding company, operates a platform in the entertainment industry in the People’s Republic of China.
1896
HK$8.06
7D
-3.8%
1Y
-15.7%