Stock Analysis

Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C's (ADX:ABNIC) Stock Price Has Reduced 32% In The Past Five Years

ADX:ABNIC
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Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C. (ADX:ABNIC) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 32% over a half decade.

View our latest analysis for Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

While the share price declined over five years, Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 38% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

It could be that the revenue decline of 7.8% per year is viewed as evidence that Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C is shrinking. That could explain the weak share price.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ADX:ABNIC Earnings and Revenue Growth December 25th 2020

If you are thinking of buying or selling Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C's TSR, which was a 22% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C had a tough year, with a total loss of 5.0%, against a market gain of about 9.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Al Buhaira National Insurance Company P.S.C is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are concerning...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AE exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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