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Blue Bird Corporation Stock Price

NasdaqGM:BLBD Community·US$2.3b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 2 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 79 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

BLBD Share Price Performance

US$73.99
32.02 (76.29%)
US$73.00
Fair Value
US$73.99
32.02 (76.29%)
1.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$73.00
Fair Value
Price US$73.99
AnalystLowTarget US$73.00
AnalystHighTarget US$78.00
AnalystConsensusTarget US$69.29

BLBD Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$73 0.5% overvalued intrinsic discount

Tariffs And Headwinds Will Depress Bus Demand Despite Subsidies

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1users have followed this narrative
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Fair Value US$78 6.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

Accelerated Electrification And Decarbonization Will Revitalize Student Transit Systems

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7users have followed this narrative
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Fair Value US$69.29 5.9% overvalued intrinsic discount

BLBD: Gross Margin Improvements Will Drive Continued Outperformance This Year

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41users have followed this narrative
US$69.29
5.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
3.63% p.a.
Profit Margin
10.02%
Future PE
16.36x
Price in 2029
US$86.35

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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BLBD: Margin Durability And Electrification Progress Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Fair Value: US$73 0.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
1 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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BLBD: Higher Margin Assumptions And Refined P/E Work Will Support Upside

Fair Value: US$69.29 5.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
41 users have set this as their fair value
2 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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BLBD: Higher Margin Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Gains

Fair Value: US$78 6.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
7 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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Snowflake Analysis

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

0 Risks
4 Rewards

Blue Bird Corporation Key Details

US$1.5b

Revenue

US$1.2b

Cost of Revenue

US$314.2m

Gross Profit

US$181.2m

Other Expenses

US$133.0m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 28, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
4.20
21.04%
8.91%
29.5%
View Full Analysis

About BLBD

Founded
1927
Employees
2010
CEO
John Wyskiel
WebsiteView website
www.blue-bird.com

Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.

Recent BLBD News & Updates

Analysis Article Jun 18

Blue Bird (BLBD) Stock Could Be 29% Below Fair Value After Guidance Raise And Micro Bird Deal

Blue Bird (BLBD) stock has been in focus after the company acquired full control of its Micro Bird joint venture, raised long term guidance for FY2026 and 2030, and reported a sequentially growing backlog. See our latest analysis for Blue Bird. Blue Bird shares have shown strong momentum, with a 33.0% 90 day share price return and a 56.86% year to date share price return, while the 1 year total shareholder return is 75.31%. This suggests investors are pricing in the recent guidance raise and...
Seeking Alpha Jun 17

Blue Bird: Fleet Replacement Tailwinds Negated By Outsized Breakout - Downgrade Hold

Summary Blue Bird's accretive Micro Bird JV acquisition, sequentially growing backlog, and raised FY2026/2030 guidance support their long-term profitable growth prospects. This is aided by the ongoing replacement cycle for school buses and the expanded TAM to commercial markets, as the management guides ongoing capacity expansions. Despite the compelling EV/EBITDA of 8.4x and P/E of 14.48x, BLBD's overly done upward momentum already offers a minimal margin of safety to my LTPT of $107. Combined with the overbought technicals and the inability to break out of the $70s resistance level, a near-term correction is rather likely, worsened by the elevated short interest ratio of 10.43%. BLBD is downgraded to Hold here, with interested investors well advised to wait for my Buy Zones between the 100/200 moving averages of $61s/$57s for an improved margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 04

BLBD: Pricing Discipline And Electrification Progress Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update on Blue Bird The analyst price target for Blue Bird has been adjusted to $73.00. Analysts cite improved pricing discipline, cost and productivity gains, and stronger EBITDA margins as key supports for the updated view.

Recent updates

No updates