The fine print at the bottom of the graphic reads:
> **Method.** Each year's EPS is multiplied by a fixed bear, base, and bull P/E of 18.0x, 28.0x, and 35.0x. The scenario mean is the simple average of the three outcomes, which assigns equal weight to each and is not a probability-weighted expected value. Fair value of $43.20 is the FY2026E scenario mean, undiscounted. Return convention: CAGR is compounded: $(mean \div spot)^{\frac{1}{years}} - 1$. The source sheet labeled a column CAGR that in fact divided total return by the number of years, which overstates the annualized figure in every year beyond the first (FY2029E: 43.4% simple versus 28.6% compounded). EPS basis: The FY2026E–FY2029E EPS path used here differs from the earnings model in Exhibit 1; refer to the text before publication. Neither path deducts preferred dividends on the Series A and Series B convertible preferred stock. Not investment advice. No recommendation is expressed or implied.
Also: The fine print at the bottom of Exhibit 1 reads:
> **Basis.** FY2022A–FY2025A net revenue, cost of revenue and gross profit are per Celsius Holdings Form 10-K filings. Operating expense, operating income and net income for those years are restated to exclude non-operating items and do not tie to the filings; see model workbook. FY2026E–FY2031E: Net revenue expressed as stated growth; gross profit off stated margin; operating expense off stated growth. All sub-totals, growth rates and ratios shown here are recomputed from the table rows rather than carried forward. **Model convention.** Net income represents income before taxes and before dividends on the Series A and Series B convertible preferred stock; earnings per share is calculated on the same basis as the forecast years. Exit multiples of 18.0x, 28.0x and 35.0x are applied uniformly across all forecast years and are not derived from a discounted cash flow method; implied market capitalizations correspond directly to target prices. No price target or recommendation is expressed or implied.
Then based off of my multiple models I took the average price for each year to find the CAGR and the estimated fair value.
Celsius Holdings, Inc. develops, processes, manufactures, markets, sells, and distributes functional energy drinks in the United States, North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers CELSIUS ESSENTIALS, a functional energy drink formulated with aminos; and CELSIUS Hydration, a line of zero-sugar hydration powders featuring electrolytes in various fruit-forward flavors, as well as ready-to-drink energy beverages, on-the-go powder and hydration sticks, and nutrition and wellness products under CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar brand names. It distributes its products through direct-to-store delivery, independent distributors, supermarkets, convenience stores, drug stores, nutritional stores, food service providers, and mass merchants, as well as natural food stores, fitness centers, mass market retailers, vitamin specialty stores, club stores, gyms, and e-commerce platforms. The company was formerly known as Vector Ventures, Inc. and changed its name to Celsius Holdings, Inc. in January 2007. Celsius Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.